Dokument: Recognising, quantifying and accounting for classification uncertainty in type 2 diabetes subtypes

Titel:Recognising, quantifying and accounting for classification uncertainty in type 2 diabetes subtypes
URL für Lesezeichen:https://docserv.uni-duesseldorf.de/servlets/DocumentServlet?id=71171
URN (NBN):urn:nbn:de:hbz:061-20251031-103530-2
Kollektion:Publikationen
Sprache:Englisch
Dokumententyp:Wissenschaftliche Texte » Artikel, Aufsatz
Medientyp:Text
Autoren: Mori, Tim [Autor]
Zaharia, Oana P. [Autor]
Straßburger, Klaus [Autor]
Dennis, John M. [Autor]
Mai, Knut [Autor]
Kabisch, Stefan [Autor]
Bornstein, Stefan [Autor]
Szendroedi, Julia [Autor]
Blüher, Matthias [Autor]
Meyhöfer, Svenja [Autor]
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Dateien vom 31.10.2025 / geändert 31.10.2025
Stichwörter:German Diabetes Study , Relative entropy , Precision medicine , Clusters , Type 2 diabetes mellitus , Classification uncertainty , Subtypes
Beschreibung:Aims/hypothesis

Despite continued interest in precision diagnostics and type 2 diabetes subtypes, the challenge of uncertainty in the classification of individuals into subtypes remains. This study introduces a novel method for quantifying and accounting for classification uncertainty in type 2 diabetes subtypes.
Methods

Building on recommendations from the ADA/EASD Precision Medicine in Diabetes Initiative, we quantified classification uncertainty using the normalised relative entropy (NRE), computed from distances to cluster centroids. A lower NRE value indicates greater uncertainty in an individual’s cluster assignment. We examined the NRE in a cohort of 859 individuals with recent-onset type 2 diabetes from the prospective, observational German Diabetes Study (GDS) and compared it across previously identified diabetes subtypes, defined by age, BMI, HbA1c, HOMA-IR and HOMA-B. Predicted 10 year CVD risk (SCORE2-Diabetes) of the subtypes was evaluated with and without accounting for classification uncertainty.
Results

Individuals with mild age-related diabetes (n=395) and mild obesity-related diabetes (n=316) had a median NRE of 0.155 (95% CI 0.142, 0.177) and 0.119 (95% CI 0.107, 0.131), respectively. By contrast, individuals with severe insulin-resistant diabetes (n=130) and severe insulin-deficient diabetes (n=18) had a lower median NRE of 0.086 (95% CI 0.075, 0.108) and 0.082 (95% CI 0.071, 0.109), respectively. After weighting individuals by classification certainty, the proportion of variation in SCORE2-Diabetes explained by the subtypes (R2) increased from 17.4% (95% CI 12.8, 23.0) to 31.5% (95% CI 26.4, 37.1). The predicted 10 year CVD risk of the mild age-related diabetes subtype increased from 10.3% (95% CI 9.8, 10.7) to 11.6% (95% CI 11.2, 12.0).
Conclusions/interpretation

The NRE provides a means to quantify and compare individual classification uncertainty in type 2 diabetes subtypes. Classification uncertainty varied between subtypes and individuals with type 2 diabetes, and accounting for it improved the ability of the subtypes to predict 10 year CVD risk.
Rechtliche Vermerke:Originalveröffentlichung:
Mori, T., Zaharia, O. P., Strassburger, K., Dennis, J. M., Mai, K., Kabisch, S., Bornstein, S., Szendrödi, J., Blüher, M., Meyhöfer, S., Seissler, J., Birkenfeld, A., Stefan, N., Roden, M., Wagner, R., & Kuß, O. (2025). Recognising, quantifying and accounting for classification uncertainty in type 2 diabetes subtypes. Diabetologia, 68(10), 2139–2150. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-025-06486-4
Lizenz:Creative Commons Lizenzvertrag
Dieses Werk ist lizenziert unter einer Creative Commons Namensnennung 4.0 International Lizenz
Fachbereich / Einrichtung:Medizinische Fakultät
Dokument erstellt am:31.10.2025
Dateien geändert am:31.10.2025
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